The Limits of Supposing: Semantic Illusions and Conditional Probability
نویسندگان
چکیده
Faced with extreme demands, hypothetical thinking runs the danger of total failure. Paradoxical propositions such as the LIAR (‘I am lying’) provide an opportunity to test it to its limits. Embedded in conditionals, they tended to occasion a breakdown of probabilistic inference (0% True-0% False pattern) demonstrating the vulnerability of hypothetical thinking when taxed by embedded suppositional processes. In contrast, items with the TRUTHTELLER (‘I am telling the truth’) were ‘collapsed’ to responses of conditional probability closely resembling estimates of control items.
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